100 million dollar movies 2007

[Jedi Master Carr]

1 Spiderman 3 $325,585,149
2 Shrek the Third $281,460,065
3 Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $253,441,723
4 300 $209,960,532
5 Wild Hogs $165,158,099
6 Blades of Glory $117,018,917
7 Ghost Rider $115,802,596
Knocked up should make it next and I think Oceans 13 will get here too.

[Yog]

1. Spider-Man 3 $333,790,022
2. Shrek the Third $314,132,750
3. At World's End $296,454,390
4. 300 $210,524,305
5. Wild Hogs $166,943,052
6. Knocked Up $123,344,430
7. Blades of Glory $117,912,269
8. Rise of the Silver Surfer $116,121,001
9. Ghost Rider $115,802,596
10. Ocean's Thirteen $102,907,030

Knocked Up and Ocean's 13 made the list as Carr predicted. Silver Surfer is still moving along, and will go up the list some more. The fight between the may blockblusters look settled at this point, with Spider-man 3 on top, Shrek 3 on second and Pirates at 3'rd.

Some big changes will happen the next couple weeks. Ratatouille will make 100M by sunday. DH4 should make it to 100M the next weekend after that. Transformers will make a monster leap up that list, taking 4th spot really easy. And then comes Harry Potter to fight it out with the robots.

[Jedi Master Carr]

1. Spider-Man 3 $333,790,022
2. Shrek the Third $314,132,750
3. At World's End $296,454,390
4. 300 $210,524,305
5. Wild Hogs $166,943,052
6. Knocked Up $123,344,430
7. Blades of Glory $117,912,269
8. Rise of the Silver Surfer $116,121,001
9. Ghost Rider $115,802,596
10. Ocean's Thirteen $102,907,030

Knocked Up and Ocean's 13 made the list as Carr predicted. Silver Surfer is still moving along, and will go up the list some more. The fight between the may blockblusters look settled at this point, with Spider-man 3 on top, Shrek 3 on second and Pirates at 3'rd.

Some big changes will happen the next couple weeks. Ratatouille will make 100M by sunday. DH4 should make it to 100M the next weekend after that. Transformers will make a monster leap up that list, taking 4th spot really easy. And then comes Harry Potter to fight it out with the robots.

I assume you mean Transformers will be #4 soon. It should be 6th on Sunday, but next weekend should jump up to 4th. It will be an interesting battle between Potter and Transformers for that 4th spot.

[Yog]

I assume you mean Transformers will be #4 soon. It should be 6th on Sunday, but next weekend should jump up to 4th. It will be an interesting battle between Potter and Transformers for that 4th spot.

Yeah, it should make 4th next weekend.

Also, from a post at BOM, this seems like a reasonable analysis of possible 100M movies to go:

1. Ghost Rider (03.10.07)
2. 300 (03.16.07)
3. Wild Hogs (03.18.07)
4. Blades of Glory (04.22.07)
5. Spiderman 3 (05.06.07)
6. Shrek the Third (05.20.07)
7. At World's End (05.27.07)
8. Knocked Up (06.22.07)
9. FF: Rise of the Silver Surfer (06.26.07)
10. Oceans 13 (07.01.07)

Locks:
Live Free or Die Hard
Ratatouille
Transformers
HP5
Bourne Ultimatum
National Treasure: BOS

80-99% chance:
I Now Pronounce You Chuck & Larry
The Simpsons Movie
Rush Hour 3
HDM: Golden Compass
I Am Legend

60-79% chance:
Hairspray
Evan Almighty

40-59% chance:
Bee Movie
American Gangster
Fred Claus

20-39% chance:
Stardust
The Invasion
Superbad

0-19% chance:
License To Wed
Balls of Fury

[Jedi Master Carr]

Fred Claus and Rush Hour 3 I would put at 100% The rest I agree with where they put them.

[Sam]

Add Transformers to the list. It's topped $101 million gross already.

[Yog]

Well, not quite yet. It made 8.8M on monday, 27.4M on tuesday, and likely about 29M on wednesday. That would put it at about 64 million after 2.5 days. That is unless you count international box office, which is a different thing.

[Itala Marzullo]

You guys should just edit the first post to be updated, kinda silly to have to search around for the latest numbers.

[Yog]

You guys should just edit the first post to be updated, kinda silly to have to search around for the latest numbers.

Good idea. Carr, can you do that?

[Sam]

Well, not quite yet. It made 8.8M on monday, 27.4M on tuesday, and likely about 29M on wednesday. That would put it at about 64 million after 2.5 days. That is unless you count international box office, which is a different thing.

Oh, I was including the international numbers, I didn't know it was supposed to be just U.S.

[Yog]

Well, we could do that too, although it is harder to track international numbers, since the data can sometimes be outdated or inaccurate.

It would not make sense to track 100M movies though, since movies make more globally, maybe 300M movies.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Well, we could do that too, although it is harder to track international numbers, since the data can sometimes be outdated or inaccurate.

It would not make sense to track 100M movies though, since movies make more globally, maybe 300M movies.

With Internationl figures, I am not sure what is considered like 100. I mean 800-1 Billion and beyond is the great numbers. 500-800 is considered good. Maybe 500 and up? And sure I will edit the first post, I have actually never thought of that.

[Yog]

Sure, 500 and up sounds good.

[Jedi Master Carr]

Of course #1 probably will be Pirates right now. Unless OOTP really does amazing overseas. It won't make 300 in the U.S so it will need to make like 640 million overseas which is possible but I don't know if it will do it.

[Yog]

Found a good page for tracking international numbers. These numbers are overseas only (not including domestic)

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/intl/weekend/yearly/

1. Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $608,900,000 5/23
2. Spider-Man 3 $548,812,757 5/1
3. Shrek the Third $262,168,552 5/17
4. 300 $243,600,000 3/7
5. Mr. Bean's Holiday $184,278,126 3/22
6. Ocean's Thirteen $124,100,000 6/7
7. Blood Diamond $113,953,193 1/4
8. Ghost Rider $112,419,628 2/14

[Jedi Master Carr]

Found a good page for tracking international numbers. These numbers are overseas only (not including domestic)

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/intl/weekend/yearly/

1. Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End $608,900,000 5/23
2. Spider-Man 3 $548,812,757 5/1
3. Shrek the Third $262,168,552 5/17
4. 300 $243,600,000 3/7
5. Mr. Bean's Holiday $184,278,126 3/22
6. Ocean's Thirteen $124,100,000 6/7
7. Blood Diamond $113,953,193 1/4
8. Ghost Rider $112,419,628 2/14

Pirates has done amazing overseas. I never thought those two movies would have done that well. I am not even sure why it is so popular overseas. At least with Potter and LOTR I know why because of the popularity of the books. But Pirates is just hard to figure out.

[Yog]

I was surprised as well, about both Pirates and Spidey. I think we generally like big budget superhero, fantasy / adventure and animation. Shrek 3 was not considered as good as the previous movies, so thus it makes less than Shrek 2.

[Jaime Tomahawk]

The reason why Intl figures are so good is the following -

1) A very big increase in cinemas showing Hollywood films in the last five years. China and India especially. China in fact had just 25 (!!!!) theaters showing Hollywood films a handful of years ago, now it's hundreds.

2) US dollar has fallen like a rock against a lot of currencies, thence the average US dollar price per ticket has increased remarkably.

In fact, its amazing more films haven't done a hell of a lot better given everything has run in favor of Intl box office receipts. I suspect Transformers may make a total mockery of everything if it gathers steam in Asia, where big robots fighting is most popular.

Basically, I also think Hollywood's worked out the Intl market is much bigger than the USA one so you will see more prints released Internationally and more films released either before the USA or at the same time.

[Jedi Master Carr]

I was surprised as well, about both Pirates and Spidey. I think we generally like big budget superhero, fantasy / adventure and animation. Shrek 3 was not considered as good as the previous movies, so thus it makes less than Shrek 2.

Shrek the third didn't do well at all overseas. I mean it hasn't even cleared 300 million yet Pirates will probably stay #1 while OOTP will take the second spot. it will make 600 overseas. Could go as high as 630.

[Jedi Master Carr]

The reason why Intl figures are so good is the following -

1) A very big increase in cinemas showing Hollywood films in the last five years. China and India especially. China in fact had just 25 (!!!!) theaters showing Hollywood films a handful of years ago, now it's hundreds.

2) US dollar has fallen like a rock against a lot of currencies, thence the average US dollar price per ticket has increased remarkably.

In fact, its amazing more films haven't done a hell of a lot better given everything has run in favor of Intl box office receipts. I suspect Transformers may make a total mockery of everything if it gathers steam in Asia, where big robots fighting is most popular.

Basically, I also think Hollywood's worked out the Intl market is much bigger than the USA one so you will see more prints released Internationally and more films released either before the USA or at the same time.

Yes this is true. Throw in Russia, Eastern Europe and India as well. Those places weren't big either. We will probably have another billion dollar film soon. I think one or both of the last two Potter films probably will do it. This one is going to be tough because it would need to make 300 domestic and do 700 overseas which I don't see happening, even though Potter is very popular overseas. As for Transformers it so far has done great in South Korea probably will make over 50% of its OS gross in Asia. Probably will do like 300-400 Os and make 700 million overall. This will probably be a record year for OS gross because you could have 4 films making over 400 million and probably 2 making over 600.